Will coronavirus effect on our economy, real estate?

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Well, I am quite sure you have seen the current effects of the coronavirus (unless your head is in the sand and you don’t watch TV or read, which I wouldn’t be surprised as to how many are clueless as what is really going on!) from China and its spread throughout other countries and its slow creep around the globe to our shores.

This is obviously an extremely serious and dangerous calamity the most serious of events in recent memory and the spread appears to be occurring and hasn’t slowed down. Hopefully, it will not have as great effect on the U.S. population going forward, but the present situation looks quite dire and challenging, due to the fact there is no vaccine, therefore no cure at this point in time.

However, at 3:49pm Tuesday, Feb 25 a report came over the newswires from CNBC and I quote:
“The coronavirus outbreak that’s shuttered commerce across China will likely become a global pandemic, a top U.S. health official said, adding that it’s just a matter of time before the outbreak starts spreading in the U.S. “Current global circumstances suggest it’s likely this virus will cause a pandemic,” Anne Schuchat, principal deputy director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention told reporters at a news briefing.”
“It’s not so much a question of if this will happen anymore, but rather more a question of when this will happen and how many people in this country will become infected and how many of those will develop the severe or more complicated disease,” she added.
Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar added: “We can’t hermetically seal off the United States.” Azar confirmed four new cases of the virus from repatriated cruise ship passengers, bringing the total in the U.S. to 57.
This is much more troubling since China has shut down so many manufacturing businesses that have a direct correlation to the U.S. economy as well as the global economy.

As I have read and heard in the past, when China sneezes, the rest of the world catches a cold which comes from the widely used saying dating back to Austrian politician Klemens von Metternich (1773–1859) who, at the time of Napoleon, penned the phrase “When Paris sneezes, Europe catches a cold.”

Economists and politicians have amended Metternich’s words to reflect America’s dominant role in global economics since the start of the Industrial Revolution. Now it is used in relation to China and its’ global economy.
Our stock market has lost several thousand points in just the last two days from its high of 29,557 on Feb. 15, 2020. If this continues, what will the effect be on real estate?

As the Chinese economy falters, having a direct and indirect effect on the U.S and other economies, real estate will be affected too! All products and manufactured goods from China have been reduced to a standstill and most sectors of the global economy have been affected.

So if this continues without a usable vaccine, when will the layoffs begin and multiply and have a tremendous impact on our economy as the business continues to slow due to lack of materials, products, and manufactured goods from China?

Real estate is an integral and major component to our productivity because some many items are purchased abroad, especially from our major partner, China with relation to the sale, investment, purchase, rental and leasing of residential and commercial properties. Stoves, washers, dryers, microwaves, air conditioners, building materials, and so many other commodities are related to real estate transactions, building, and development, renovations, repairs, etc. and when those items are not available, things slow down and worst could cause a beginning of a recession, but hopefully not, if a vaccine can be created and immediately be dispersed to all countries, especially where this potential pandemic began in Wuhan, China.

Many open-air seafood markets were selling live and freshly slaughtered animals that were sold to the public, whereby easily transferring the virus to humans who had worked there and the public at large. However, a study published in The Lancet on Jan. 30, 2020, suspects that some scientists believe it originally had been transferred from bats.

An antidote vaccine is being worked on and possibly in six weeks, it will be produced.

But in the meantime, no one really can predict the exact amount of time it will take and the viruses’ day to day effects on the global economy which is somewhat predictable and very apparent. It is wide-reaching and is currently hurting business and will continue for the foreseeable future and no one knows when things will actually improve.

One thing for sure, the impact on real estate will be detrimental, but hopefully not, but we will see what transpires over the next month or two and I will let you know what the statistics show over the near term.

Maybe it’s time to sell and not wait to try to anticipate and determine the effect on the value of your property. We shall see what the future holds for all of us!

Philip A. Raices is the owner/Broker of Turn Key Real Estate at 3 Grace Ave Suite 180 in Great Neck. He has earned designations as a graduate of the Realtor Institute and a Certified International Property Specialist.
He can be reached by email: Phil@TurnKeyRealEstate.Com, or by cell: (516) 647-4289 to answer any of your questions, concerns or suggestions for his weekly column.

18 COMMENTS

  1. The virus has made so many people fortunate and many unfortunate to it, As a matter of fact the global economy has gone so low that we have no control over it. As in the field of real estate many are now having a capability of buying their own places as the mortgage has gone low and many are being pushed out of the houses.
    – Images Enahnce

  2. I don’t think the consequences will be severe – it is hard to predict. Maybe prices will rise up to the sky and maybe they will drop down. Interest rate in real estate dropped drastically the other month but for now as may be seen it is starting to grow gradually to the previous levels (as before the Coronavirus)

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    Thanks for sharing such a imperative information. my vote is for u all.
    As how corona effected some real estate company but if you try to follow governments instruction then you can easily work and will gain enough money.

  4. Corona effected much people also real estate but try to focus on work then you will easily gain enough profit. And must take care of governess instruction. Thanks for sharing such a nice information.

  5. I just came across your blog post and must say that it’s a great piece of information that you have shared. Real estate is one of the worst impacted industries. The property rates are likely to go down. Great Article!

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  7. Real estate is an integral and major component to our productivity because some many items are purchased abroad, especially from our major partner, China with relation to the sale, investment, purchase, rental, and leasing of residential and commercial properties. Stoves, washers, dryers, microwaves, air conditioners, building materials, and so many other commodities are related to real estate transactions, building, and development, renovations, repairs, etc

  8. Transmission of the disease from handling banknotes has consumers concerned, but the risk is reported to be low compared with touching credit card terminals and PIN pads. Yet the plexiglass that divides customer from cashier urges less reliance on bills and coins in favor of using point of sale machines to swipe your credit card.

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