Village of Roslyn has highest COVID-19 rate in Nassau, figures show

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More than 4,100 North Shore residents had tested positive for the coronavirus as of Monday night, according to figures provided by the Nassau County Department of Health. (Chart created by Robert Pelaez)

With more than 140 confirmed cases of the coronavirus as of Monday, the Village of Roslyn had the most cases per 1,000 residents in Nassau County, according to figures provided by the county Department of Health.

The figures, broken down by community on the county’s interactive map, were the most up-to-date figures available as of Wednesday morning.

According to figures provided by the U.S. Census Bureau, the estimated population of the Village of Roslyn was 2,882 in 2018. According to the county figures, Roslyn’s 144 cases amount to 50.5 cases per 1,000 residents.

New Cassel has the second-highest rate per 1,000 residents in the county but has more than five times as many cases as Roslyn.  Roslyn Heights had 123 cases as of Monday, but that translates to a rate of 18.7 cases per 1,000 residents.  Roslyn Harbor’s 16 cases result in a rate of 17.1 cases per 1,000 residents. 

More than 4,100 North Shore residents had tested positive for the coronavirus as of Monday, according to the figures.

Last week, the confirmed number of coronavirus cases throughout North Shore communities was 3,999.  That number increased by 141 over the week, for a total of 4,140 confirmed cases.

Municipalities that stretch into more than one North Shore area such as Flower Hill, Herricks, Albertson, Garden City Park, Searingtown and North Hills were counted separately and accounted for 617 cases, an increase of 26 from last week.

Mineola, Garden City, Williston Park and East Williston combined for a total of 706 confirmed cases, which accounts for almost all of the area’s total of 729 cases.  

Port Washington accounts for 377 of the North Shore’s cases. Of that total, 213 are from town-governed areas and 96 in Manorhaven.

A total of 761 residents throughout the Great Neck peninsula had tested positive for the virus, an increase of 18 from last week.

The centralized villages, such as the Village of Great Neck and Great Neck Plaza, account for 375 of the area’s confirmed cases, an increase of 11 from the previous week. Kings Point still ranks third in the area’s confirmed cases with 98.

Manhasset, with 235 confirmed cases, has closer proximity to areas with more positive cases but had the lowest increase of cases over the past week with five.

The town-governed parts of Manhasset, with 121 confirmed cases, along with North Hills, Flower Hill and Herricks, made up a majority of the area’s cases.  The villages of Manhasset Hills, Munsey Park, Plandome, Plandome Manor and Plandome Heights accounted for 114 cases, four more than last week.

According to the map, the New Hyde Park area has a total of 1,061 confirmed cases of the virus.  North New Hyde Park, just south of Manhasset Hills and Lake Success, is the area with the most confirmed cases at 423, an increase of 21 from the past week.

As of Tuesday night, according to figures provided by the county Department of Health,  39,295 county residents had tested positive for the coronavirus.  A total of 2,060 people had died. Total hospitalizations, 599, and patients on ventilators, 137, both have significantly decreased over the past month, according to the figures.

CURRENT STATUS ON LONG ISLAND METRICS

Nassau County, and all of Long Island, could begin phased reopening sooner than expected due to a change in the state-mandated metrics rolled out by Gov. Andrew Cuomo on May 11.

The revision, which permits the western New York region to begin phased reopening on Thursday, affects how hospitalizations and death rates for each region are viewed.  Officials said the two metrics will be analyzed beginning on May 15 rather than across the entire length of the pandemic’s New York arrival in early March.

Cuomo’s secretary, Melissa DeRosa, said on Monday that the change was made after the original lockdown order expired in New York.

“What we’ve been very clear on is once we hit May 15, as soon as a region hit the benchmarks, they could enter phase one,” DeRosa said. “So the time reset on May 15, which was the end of the pause.”

The five metrics that the Long Island region met are having a 14-day decline in hospitalizations, conducting 30 monthly tests per 1,000 residents, having a 30 percent capacity of total hospital beds, a 30 percent capacity of intensive care unit beds and having at least 30 contact tracers for 100,000 residents.

The two that it still needs to meet are a 14-day decline in hospital deaths or fewer than five deaths per day, and having at least 30 contact tracers for 100,000 residents (which the state expects the county to achieve).

As of Tuesday, according to state figures, Long Island had a six-day decline in hospital deaths, but averaged 13 over a three-day span.

The region has made 31 percent of total hospital beds and 37 percent of intensive care unit beds available, surpassing the 30 percent benchmark required by the state.  State figures indicated that the county is expected to achieve the contact tracing metric for 100,000 residents as well.

While it remains under the state-mandated amount, Long Island had the third-highest three-day average of new hospitalizations with 1.67 per 100,000 residents per day, according to state figures.

Steve Bello, a senior vice president and regional executive director at Northwell Health, said that Long Island’s high density could potentially make it difficult for the region to fall under the six-death mark set by the state.

“Some of the metric goals that make sense upstate don’t apply here,” Bello told Newsday. “To get to five deaths could take a while.”

Northwell had 909 patients who had tested positive for the coronavirus at its hospitals as of Monday, a 73 percent decrease since its April 7 peak, according to statistics provided by Northwell. 

Once Long Island achieves the seven mandated metrics, phased reopening can begin.  A total of six regions (central New York, Finger Lakes, Mohawk Valley, North County, Southern Tier and western New York) have already begun phased reopening, with the seventh (capital region) set to begin on Thursday.

The first phase of the plan, according to Cuomo, will include opening construction and manufacturing functions with low risk, so long as the health trends continue to meet the guidelines.

Nassau County Executive Laura Curran touted the significance that the first phase of reopening will have on Long Island.

“Phase one for us means a lot of people will be coming back to work,” said Curran. “Seventeen percent of total jobs on Long Island are in construction, manufacturing and wholesale trade.”

Phase two, Cuomo said, is a more in-depth look at each business on a case-by-case analysis, and finding the best ways for them to reopen.  He said officials will determine a business’ essential service to the community, the risks of reopening and the importance of its reopening.

Cuomo said business owners must analyze the precautions and safeguards that will need to be potentially addressed for each individual business.

Two weeks must pass before the next part of the plan is implemented, Cuomo said, in order to effectively monitor its impact. He said two weeks covers the incubation period of the virus.

Cuomo said coordinating testing and tracing throughout the state’s regions will aid in determining when schools and transportation systems can safely reopen.

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